Most pundits share your perspective. However, I think there are a couple of flaws with this reasoning:
1. The Canucks have proven they can score when healthy. Not going to look up their Goals For, but I’d bet they’re in or near the top third of the league. Yes, they didn’t score as much against Nashville because of how Nashville plays the game (i.e forcing dump-one with a strong puck handling goaltender that can regularly cut-off the dump-in, 5 man collapse to the front of the net if possession lost in defensive end, full buy-in to shot blocking, etc). However, the Oilers are not Nashville and do not play the same shot-stifling style. I expect our offensive leaders will have more space and time to create offence in this series.
2. Comparing the Oilers’ record against the Kings to the Canucks’ record against the Kings is meaningless. The Oilers, Canucks and Kings are different teams with their own strengths and weaknesses. With different strengths and weaknesses, different teams match up better against others. In other words, rock beating scissors and scissors beating paper does not mean that rock will beat paper. When looking at historical performance of the Oilers against the Canucks, I think there is reason for optimism. Although the Canucks have not yet seen Knob’s version of the Oilers with McDavid in the lineup, the Oilers’ personnel remains largely unchanged and, so far this season, that personnel has had a lot of difficulty penetrating the middle of the ice in the Canucks’ end. If the Canucks can limit rush chances and power plays against, it will be the Oilers who struggle to score.
I’m just an amateur watching from my couch though, so what do I know, but here’s hoping that I am right